We’ved been hearing two different perspectives for the last few weeks. From BN they are very confident of winning the election until they claim they are targeting 2/3. PR is also confident albeit a simple majority.
From the ceramah held, pr propaganda had a number of huge ceramahs. By my count BN had less than PR. This is just a feel since both blew up the figure. Most picture taken tries to show the most favourable anger.
As usual the truth lies in between.
In order to win in Malaysia, popularity votes do not determine winners. Its by constituency. An accurate account is to go constituency by constituency and thus judge it there. The one who wins is those who have the actual statistical account of each constituency..
However, yesterday I went down to the ground with a few others. I must admit I did not carry out an acceptable polling standards. We pick a spot in town and queried people passing by. I personally tried to stop as many as I can to have a feel. Almost all in my way. About 90%++ so happen to be Malays. So its not reflective of our population. Most there went about shopping. A very random feel.
But my goodness the result was surprising. For the Malays I personally found out that 80 to 90% openly admit to vote for BN. Its like an outpouring of frustration. For non Malays I can’t conclude into diferrent races but noted many non Chinese openly proudly admit they will vote BN today. I take those who avoided the question or appear holding back as PR supporters.
Now I’m not going to justify my method. Told you its not done scientifically and not representative of our nation. But its my truth. You can argue to the contrary you have a contrary subjective findings. So is my subjective truth. I saw and heard from the whole family and their body language. Whatever you want to say, I saw it with my eyes. You may see it differently but I have a story to tell. You call me a liar and I will respond in kind. I don’t do that and protect my integrity.
My conclusion is that the result of GE will split us further. The Chinese are overwhelmingly united on one side with an open display of support. A huge substantial Malay voters (from the low to middle class) albeit less vocal with BN. Indians mainly to BN. And its i believe a fair reflection taking into account of my Facebook friends. Those with PR has been super vocal. Many are just quiet. The only difference is that my friends are roughly 80% professionals and those I met yesterday are from low to middle income. Among my Malay professional friends I believe about 50/50 for bn. However I note Malay professional form a much smaller percentage of the Malay population.
This is not going to be good. We’ve become more polarized.
I wish all Malaysians happy voting. Be safe. Play safe and clean. Accept the decision. Challenge unfair result in court. Respect the majority determined by our Westminster model.